Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

16:00

Venue

Fisht Olympic Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Sochi Win

40%

FC Sochi

2.48

24%

Draw

4.12

35%

Akhmat

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

FC Sochi xG

Total xG

3.00

1.44

Akhmat xG

40%
24%
35%
FC SochiDrawAkhmat

2.48

40%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

24%

FC Sochi

4.22

21%

Akhmat

4.73

Win to Nil

10%

FC Sochi

10.47

7%

Akhmat

13.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.2 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.8 11.2 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.7 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 4.5 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.554
λ Away (xG) 1.441
Total xG 2.995
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.070
FC Sochi attack strength 0.964
FC Sochi defence strength 1.353
Akhmat attack strength 0.996
Akhmat defence strength 1.179
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 59