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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Stadion Gazovik

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Orenburg Win

49%

FC Orenburg

2.05

32%

Draw

3.17

20%

Khimki

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

FC Orenburg xG

Total xG

2.55

0.96

Khimki xG

49%
32%
20%
FC OrenburgDrawKhimki

2.05

49%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

38%

FC Orenburg

2.62

20%

Khimki

4.88

Win to Nil

19%

FC Orenburg

5.39

4%

Khimki

24.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.5 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.4 11.9 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.2 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.585
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.549
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.099
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.865
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.149
Khimki attack strength 0.764
Khimki defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 27