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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Sovcombank Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

50%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.00

26%

Draw

3.86

24%

FC Sochi

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.64

1.04

FC Sochi xG

50%
26%
24%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Sochi

2.00

50%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

35%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.82

20%

FC Sochi

4.95

Win to Nil

18%

Nizhny Novgorod

5.64

5%

FC Sochi

20.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.5 11.9 6.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.600
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 2.636
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 0.985
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.828
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.063
FC Sochi attack strength 0.990
FC Sochi defence strength 1.331
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 19