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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

13:30

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

38%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.61

31%

Draw

3.23

31%

FC Krasnodar

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.77

1.30

FC Krasnodar xG

38%
31%
31%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Krasnodar

2.61

38%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

27%

Nizhny Novgorod

3.67

23%

FC Krasnodar

4.35

Win to Nil

10%

Nizhny Novgorod

9.57

7%

FC Krasnodar

14.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.1 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 12.0 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.8 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.3 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.470
λ Away (xG) 1.301
Total xG 2.771
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.029
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 1.005
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.093
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.156
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.959
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30