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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

12:00

Venue

Sovcombank Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

47%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.13

29%

Draw

3.49

24%

FC Rostov

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.13

0.84

FC Rostov xG

47%
29%
24%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFC Rostov

2.13

47%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

43%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.33

27%

FC Rostov

3.64

Win to Nil

20%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.95

7%

FC Rostov

14.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 10.0 4.2 1.2 0.2
1 15.3 12.9 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 9.9 8.3 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.2 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.291
λ Away (xG) 0.844
Total xG 2.135
League avg home goals 1.607
League avg away goals 1.035
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.921
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 0.954
FC Rostov attack strength 0.855
FC Rostov defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52