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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Nizhny Novgorod

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

58%

Nizhny Novgorod

1.72

26%

Draw

3.85

16%

Fakel

6.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.66

0.86

Fakel xG

58%
26%
16%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFakel

1.72

58%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

6.23

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

42%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.37

17%

Fakel

6.05

Win to Nil

25%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.08

3%

Fakel

37.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 12.6 10.8 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.8 5.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.800
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 2.661
League avg home goals 1.502
League avg away goals 1.081
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 1.022
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.180
Fakel attack strength 0.675
Fakel defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58