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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Mon 18 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Mordovia Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

38%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.62

30%

Draw

3.37

32%

Dinamo Makhachkala

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.65

1.26

Dinamo Makhachkala xG

38%
30%
32%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawDinamo Makhachkala

2.62

38%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

28%

Nizhny Novgorod

3.53

25%

Dinamo Makhachkala

4.00

Win to Nil

11%

Nizhny Novgorod

9.25

8%

Dinamo Makhachkala

12.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.9 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.4 7.8 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.386
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.646
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.211
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.979
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.305
Dinamo Makhachkala attack strength 0.797
Dinamo Makhachkala defence strength 0.954
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34