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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

RZD Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

56%

Lokomotiv

1.79

26%

Draw

3.80

18%

FC Rostov

5.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Lokomotiv xG

Total xG

2.72

0.94

FC Rostov xG

56%
26%
18%
LokomotivDrawFC Rostov

1.79

56%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

5.56

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

39%

Lokomotiv

2.55

17%

FC Rostov

5.96

Win to Nil

22%

Lokomotiv

4.59

3%

FC Rostov

33.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.7 11.0 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.8 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.785
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.723
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.208
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.313
Lokomotiv defence strength 0.978
FC Rostov attack strength 0.794
FC Rostov defence strength 0.895
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35