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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

43%

Krylia Sovetov

2.32

26%

Draw

3.82

31%

Spartak Moscow

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

2.59

1.16

Spartak Moscow xG

43%
26%
31%
Krylia SovetovDrawSpartak Moscow

2.32

43%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

31%

Krylia Sovetov

3.19

24%

Spartak Moscow

4.16

Win to Nil

14%

Krylia Sovetov

7.39

7%

Spartak Moscow

13.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.7 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.7 12.5 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.9 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.6 4.2 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 1.160
Total xG 2.586
League avg home goals 1.363
League avg away goals 1.049
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.042
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 0.905
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.222
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57