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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

11:30

Venue

Solidarnost Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

32%

Krylia Sovetov

3.17

31%

Draw

3.21

37%

Spartak Moscow

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

2.52

1.32

Spartak Moscow xG

32%
31%
37%
Krylia SovetovDrawSpartak Moscow

3.17

32%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

27%

Krylia Sovetov

3.74

30%

Spartak Moscow

3.31

Win to Nil

8%

Krylia Sovetov

11.86

11%

Spartak Moscow

8.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 10.6 7.0 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.7 12.8 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.8 7.6 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.198
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 2.517
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.082
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.016
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.154
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.056
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.789
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58