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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

53%

Krylia Sovetov

1.90

25%

Draw

3.98

22%

FC Sochi

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

3.28

1.27

FC Sochi xG

53%
25%
22%
Krylia SovetovDrawFC Sochi

1.90

53%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

28%

Krylia Sovetov

3.58

13%

FC Sochi

7.45

Win to Nil

15%

Krylia Sovetov

6.79

3%

FC Sochi

33.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.5 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 6.5 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 2.5 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.008
λ Away (xG) 1.274
Total xG 3.282
League avg home goals 1.508
League avg away goals 1.271
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 0.908
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.325
FC Sochi attack strength 0.757
FC Sochi defence strength 1.466
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 7