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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

11:00

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

45%

Krylia Sovetov

2.23

23%

Draw

4.32

32%

FC Orenburg

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.4%

Draw

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

3.96

1.81

FC Orenburg xG

45%
23%
32%
Krylia SovetovDrawFC Orenburg

2.23

45%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.33

25%

BTTS No

4.03

Clean Sheet

16%

Krylia Sovetov

6.12

12%

FC Orenburg

8.56

Win to Nil

7%

Krylia Sovetov

13.64

4%

FC Orenburg

26.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 3.5 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.3
1 4.1 7.4 6.7 4.1 1.8 0.7
2 4.4 8.0 7.2 4.4 2.0 0.7
3 3.1 5.7 5.2 3.1 1.4 0.5
4 1.7 3.1 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.3
5 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.147
λ Away (xG) 1.812
Total xG 3.959
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.198
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 0.977
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.348
FC Orenburg attack strength 1.122
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.455
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41