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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 25 Jul 2025

17:00

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

47%

Krylia Sovetov

2.14

32%

Draw

3.11

21%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

2.56

1.01

Nizhny Novgorod xG

47%
32%
21%
Krylia SovetovDrawNizhny Novgorod

2.14

47%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

4.71

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

37%

Krylia Sovetov

2.74

21%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.72

Win to Nil

17%

Krylia Sovetov

5.87

4%

Nizhny Novgorod

22.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.8 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.0 12.1 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.4 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.552
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 2.559
League avg home goals 1.424
League avg away goals 1.064
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 0.989
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.095
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.864
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.102
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31