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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Solidarnost Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

27%

Krylia Sovetov

3.66

31%

Draw

3.25

42%

Lokomotiv

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

2.58

1.44

Lokomotiv xG

27%
31%
42%
Krylia SovetovDrawLokomotiv

3.66

27%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

24%

Krylia Sovetov

4.24

32%

Lokomotiv

3.10

Win to Nil

6%

Krylia Sovetov

15.51

14%

Lokomotiv

7.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 11.0 7.9 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.6 12.4 9.0 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 4.9 7.0 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.133
λ Away (xG) 1.444
Total xG 2.577
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.128
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 0.829
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.166
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.098
Lokomotiv defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51