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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Mon 5 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Solidarnost Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

47%

Krylia Sovetov

2.11

30%

Draw

3.37

23%

Dynamo

4.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

2.90

1.17

Dynamo xG

47%
30%
23%
Krylia SovetovDrawDynamo

2.11

47%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

4.36

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

31%

Krylia Sovetov

3.23

18%

Dynamo

5.64

Win to Nil

15%

Krylia Sovetov

6.80

4%

Dynamo

24.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.4 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.5 11.1 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 4.7 5.5 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.729
λ Away (xG) 1.172
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.480
League avg away goals 1.076
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.067
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.009
Dynamo attack strength 1.079
Dynamo defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56