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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

11:30

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

33%

Krylia Sovetov

3.05

32%

Draw

3.10

35%

Baltika

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

2.55

1.30

Baltika xG

33%
32%
35%
Krylia SovetovDrawBaltika

3.05

33%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

27%

Krylia Sovetov

3.67

29%

Baltika

3.50

Win to Nil

9%

Krylia Sovetov

11.22

10%

Baltika

10.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 10.1 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.7 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.1 7.9 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.253
λ Away (xG) 1.301
Total xG 2.554
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.253
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.048
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 0.936
Baltika attack strength 1.109
Baltika defence strength 0.882
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 3