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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

12:00

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

46%

Krylia Sovetov

2.15

28%

Draw

3.61

26%

Akhmat

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Krylia Sovetov xG

Total xG

2.28

0.93

Akhmat xG

46%
28%
26%
Krylia SovetovDrawAkhmat

2.15

46%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

39%

Krylia Sovetov

2.53

26%

Akhmat

3.85

Win to Nil

18%

Krylia Sovetov

5.46

7%

Akhmat

14.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 9.5 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.8 12.8 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.7 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.348
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 2.278
League avg home goals 1.586
League avg away goals 1.049
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 0.890
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 0.879
Akhmat attack strength 1.009
Akhmat defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53