Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Ozon Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Krasnodar Win

50%

FC Krasnodar

2.01

30%

Draw

3.33

20%

Zenit

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

FC Krasnodar xG

Total xG

2.60

0.98

Zenit xG

50%
30%
20%
FC KrasnodarDrawZenit

2.01

50%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

38%

FC Krasnodar

2.66

20%

Zenit

5.05

Win to Nil

19%

FC Krasnodar

5.36

4%

Zenit

24.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.3 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.0 11.8 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.5 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.3 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.619
λ Away (xG) 0.980
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.212
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.267
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.868
Zenit attack strength 0.932
Zenit defence strength 0.875
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38