Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Ozon Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Krasnodar Win

62%

FC Krasnodar

1.61

25%

Draw

4.04

13%

FC Sochi

7.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

FC Krasnodar xG

Total xG

2.63

0.77

FC Sochi xG

62%
25%
13%
FC KrasnodarDrawFC Sochi

1.61

62%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

7.57

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

47%

FC Krasnodar

2.15

15%

FC Sochi

6.47

Win to Nil

29%

FC Krasnodar

3.46

2%

FC Sochi

48.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.4 10.3 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.6 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 7.8 6.0 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 3.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.867
λ Away (xG) 0.765
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.206
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.046
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.851
FC Sochi attack strength 0.745
FC Sochi defence strength 1.244
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 4