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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:30

Venue

Ozon Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Krasnodar Win

47%

FC Krasnodar

2.13

29%

Draw

3.42

24%

Akhmat

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

FC Krasnodar xG

Total xG

2.84

1.16

Akhmat xG

47%
29%
24%
FC KrasnodarDrawAkhmat

2.13

47%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

31%

FC Krasnodar

3.20

19%

Akhmat

5.38

Win to Nil

15%

FC Krasnodar

6.81

4%

Akhmat

22.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.8 11.4 6.6 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.4 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.682
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.844
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.168
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.126
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.981
Akhmat attack strength 1.014
Akhmat defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40