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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Arena Khimki

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Rostov Win

27%

Khimki

3.72

28%

Draw

3.54

45%

FC Rostov

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Khimki xG

Total xG

3.15

1.79

FC Rostov xG

27%
28%
45%
KhimkiDrawFC Rostov

3.72

27%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

17%

Khimki

5.97

26%

FC Rostov

3.91

Win to Nil

5%

Khimki

22.22

11%

FC Rostov

8.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 7.7 6.8 4.1 1.8 0.6
1 5.8 10.4 9.3 5.6 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.1 6.4 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 1.8 3.2 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 1.786
Total xG 3.149
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.080
Khimki attack strength 0.888
Khimki defence strength 1.302
FC Rostov attack strength 1.270
FC Rostov defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 56