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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

Stadion Fakel

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Rostov Win

30%

Fakel

3.39

35%

Draw

2.87

36%

FC Rostov

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Fakel xG

Total xG

2.19

1.16

FC Rostov xG

30%
35%
36%
FakelDrawFC Rostov

3.39

30%

Home win

2.87

35%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

32%

Fakel

3.17

36%

FC Rostov

2.82

Win to Nil

9%

Fakel

10.75

13%

FC Rostov

7.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 12.9 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.6 13.4 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.0 6.9 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.035
λ Away (xG) 1.155
Total xG 2.190
League avg home goals 1.562
League avg away goals 1.095
Fakel attack strength 0.610
Fakel defence strength 0.895
FC Rostov attack strength 1.179
FC Rostov defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54