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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

13:15

Venue

Stadion Fakel

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Fakel

3.21

37%

Draw

2.67

31%

Akhmat

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Fakel xG

Total xG

2.05

1.03

Akhmat xG

31%
37%
31%
FakelDrawAkhmat

3.21

31%

Home win

2.67

37%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

36%

Fakel

2.80

36%

Akhmat

2.79

Win to Nil

11%

Fakel

8.97

11%

Akhmat

8.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 13.2 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.1 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.7 6.9 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.025
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 2.054
League avg home goals 1.517
League avg away goals 1.074
Fakel attack strength 0.697
Fakel defence strength 0.996
Akhmat attack strength 0.962
Akhmat defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52