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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

14:30

Venue

VEB Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

CSKA Moscow Win

54%

CSKA Moscow

1.85

26%

Draw

3.79

19%

Spartak Moscow

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

CSKA Moscow xG

Total xG

2.91

1.05

Spartak Moscow xG

54%
26%
19%
CSKA MoscowDrawSpartak Moscow

1.85

54%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

35%

CSKA Moscow

2.87

16%

Spartak Moscow

6.37

Win to Nil

19%

CSKA Moscow

5.30

3%

Spartak Moscow

32.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.7 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.851
λ Away (xG) 1.054
Total xG 2.905
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.196
CSKA Moscow attack strength 1.287
CSKA Moscow defence strength 0.777
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.134
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40