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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

VEB Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

CSKA Moscow Win

45%

CSKA Moscow

2.24

31%

Draw

3.27

25%

Baltika

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

CSKA Moscow xG

Total xG

2.54

1.06

Baltika xG

45%
31%
25%
CSKA MoscowDrawBaltika

2.24

45%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

35%

CSKA Moscow

2.88

23%

Baltika

4.40

Win to Nil

15%

CSKA Moscow

6.46

6%

Baltika

17.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 8.3 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.4 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.2 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.3 4.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.482
λ Away (xG) 1.059
Total xG 2.541
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.222
CSKA Moscow attack strength 1.349
CSKA Moscow defence strength 0.850
Baltika attack strength 1.019
Baltika defence strength 0.744
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 9