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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Rostec Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

58%

Baltika

1.72

24%

Draw

4.15

18%

FC Sochi

5.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Baltika xG

Total xG

2.48

0.80

FC Sochi xG

58%
24%
18%
BaltikaDrawFC Sochi

1.72

58%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

5.64

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

45%

Baltika

2.23

19%

FC Sochi

5.34

Win to Nil

26%

Baltika

3.83

3%

FC Sochi

30.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 14.1 11.3 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.8 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.6 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.8 2.2 0.9 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.676
λ Away (xG) 0.802
Total xG 2.478
League avg home goals 1.607
League avg away goals 0.965
Baltika attack strength 0.815
Baltika defence strength 0.834
FC Sochi attack strength 0.996
FC Sochi defence strength 1.280
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 21