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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

13:00

Venue

Rostec Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lokomotiv Win

30%

Baltika

3.36

25%

Draw

3.98

45%

Lokomotiv

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Baltika xG

Total xG

3.42

1.90

Lokomotiv xG

30%
25%
45%
BaltikaDrawLokomotiv

3.36

30%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.12

Clean Sheet

15%

Baltika

6.67

22%

Lokomotiv

4.60

Win to Nil

4%

Baltika

22.43

10%

Lokomotiv

10.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.2 5.9 3.7 1.8 0.7
1 5.0 9.4 9.0 5.7 2.7 1.0
2 3.8 7.2 6.8 4.3 2.1 0.8
3 1.9 3.7 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.525
λ Away (xG) 1.898
Total xG 3.423
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.190
Baltika attack strength 1.048
Baltika defence strength 1.238
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.288
Lokomotiv defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 34