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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

17:00

Venue

Rostec Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

45%

Baltika

2.21

36%

Draw

2.79

19%

Dinamo Makhachkala

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.8%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Baltika xG

Total xG

1.79

0.65

Dinamo Makhachkala xG

45%
36%
19%
BaltikaDrawDinamo Makhachkala

2.21

45%

Home win

2.79

36%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.90

66%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

52%

Baltika

1.91

32%

Dinamo Makhachkala

3.12

Win to Nil

24%

Baltika

4.22

6%

Dinamo Makhachkala

16.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8 10.9 3.5 0.8 0.1
1 19.1 12.4 4.0 0.9 0.1
2 10.8 7.0 2.3 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.137
λ Away (xG) 0.648
Total xG 1.785
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.207
Baltika attack strength 0.712
Baltika defence strength 0.853
Dinamo Makhachkala attack strength 0.629
Dinamo Makhachkala defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 40