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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

11:00

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zenit Win

21%

Akron

4.68

31%

Draw

3.26

48%

Zenit

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Akron xG

Total xG

2.43

1.49

Zenit xG

21%
31%
48%
AkronDrawZenit

4.68

21%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

22%

Akron

4.45

39%

Zenit

2.55

Win to Nil

5%

Akron

20.85

19%

Zenit

5.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 13.2 9.8 4.9 1.8 0.5
1 8.2 12.3 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 3.9 5.8 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
3 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.936
λ Away (xG) 1.494
Total xG 2.430
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.191
Akron attack strength 0.855
Akron defence strength 1.202
Zenit attack strength 1.043
Zenit defence strength 0.750
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40