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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

11:30

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

30%

Akron

3.38

29%

Draw

3.39

41%

Spartak Moscow

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Akron xG

Total xG

2.61

1.43

Spartak Moscow xG

30%
29%
41%
AkronDrawSpartak Moscow

3.38

30%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

24%

Akron

4.16

31%

Spartak Moscow

3.26

Win to Nil

7%

Akron

14.04

13%

Spartak Moscow

7.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 10.5 7.5 3.6 1.3 0.4
1 8.7 12.4 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.2 7.3 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 2.0 2.9 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.183
λ Away (xG) 1.425
Total xG 2.608
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.272
Akron attack strength 1.003
Akron defence strength 1.099
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.019
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.880
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32