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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Solidarnost Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

18%

Akron

5.53

29%

Draw

3.48

53%

Spartak Moscow

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

0 – 2

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Akron xG

Total xG

2.61

1.69

Spartak Moscow xG

18%
29%
53%
AkronDrawSpartak Moscow

5.53

18%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

18%

Akron

5.42

40%

Spartak Moscow

2.51

Win to Nil

3%

Akron

30.00

21%

Spartak Moscow

4.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 12.4 10.5 5.9 2.5 0.8
1 6.8 11.4 9.7 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 3.1 5.3 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.4
3 1.0 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.922
λ Away (xG) 1.691
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.085
Akron attack strength 0.862
Akron defence strength 1.333
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.169
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.707
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 54