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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:45

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

34%

Akron

2.95

28%

Draw

3.63

38%

Rubin

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Akron xG

Total xG

3.07

1.59

Rubin xG

34%
28%
38%
AkronDrawRubin

2.95

34%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

20%

Akron

4.89

23%

Rubin

4.41

Win to Nil

7%

Akron

14.40

9%

Rubin

11.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 7.4 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 6.9 10.9 8.7 4.6 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.1 6.4 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 2.5 4.0 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.483
λ Away (xG) 1.587
Total xG 3.070
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.211
Akron attack strength 0.802
Akron defence strength 1.151
Rubin attack strength 1.139
Rubin defence strength 1.253
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38