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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

15:30

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akron Win

49%

Akron

2.05

27%

Draw

3.71

24%

FC Sochi

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Akron xG

Total xG

2.98

1.21

FC Sochi xG

49%
27%
24%
AkronDrawFC Sochi

2.05

49%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

30%

Akron

3.35

17%

FC Sochi

5.86

Win to Nil

15%

Akron

6.88

4%

FC Sochi

24.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.2 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 9.0 10.9 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.6 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.7 5.7 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.769
λ Away (xG) 1.210
Total xG 2.979
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.109
Akron attack strength 0.917
Akron defence strength 1.135
FC Sochi attack strength 0.961
FC Sochi defence strength 1.442
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 15