Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

11:30

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akron Win

45%

Akron

2.23

28%

Draw

3.61

27%

FC Orenburg

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Akron xG

Total xG

3.03

1.31

FC Orenburg xG

45%
28%
27%
AkronDrawFC Orenburg

2.23

45%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

27%

Akron

3.71

18%

FC Orenburg

5.55

Win to Nil

12%

Akron

8.27

5%

FC Orenburg

20.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.4 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.3 10.9 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.3 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.1 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.714
λ Away (xG) 1.312
Total xG 3.026
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.179
Akron attack strength 0.912
Akron defence strength 1.076
FC Orenburg attack strength 1.034
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.290
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34