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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

13:30

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akron Win

43%

Akron

2.32

27%

Draw

3.65

30%

Krylia Sovetov

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Akron xG

Total xG

3.27

1.47

Krylia Sovetov xG

43%
27%
30%
AkronDrawKrylia Sovetov

2.32

43%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

23%

Akron

4.37

17%

Krylia Sovetov

6.03

Win to Nil

10%

Akron

10.14

5%

Krylia Sovetov

20.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.6 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 6.8 10.1 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.7 5.4 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.796
λ Away (xG) 1.474
Total xG 3.270
League avg home goals 1.555
League avg away goals 1.103
Akron attack strength 1.014
Akron defence strength 1.251
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.068
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.139
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30