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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Solidarnost Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akron Win

50%

Akron

2.01

30%

Draw

3.36

20%

Fakel

4.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Akron xG

Total xG

2.80

1.07

Fakel xG

50%
30%
20%
AkronDrawFakel

2.01

50%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

4.90

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

34%

Akron

2.91

18%

Fakel

5.63

Win to Nil

17%

Akron

5.84

4%

Fakel

27.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.5 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.5 11.3 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.7 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.728
λ Away (xG) 1.069
Total xG 2.797
League avg home goals 1.480
League avg away goals 1.072
Akron attack strength 0.929
Akron defence strength 1.455
Fakel attack strength 0.685
Fakel defence strength 1.258
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 53