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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Mon 27 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

69%

Akhmat

1.45

22%

Draw

4.54

9%

FC Sochi

10.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

3 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.65

0.63

FC Sochi xG

69%
22%
AkhmatDrawFC Sochi

1.45

69%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

10.93

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

53%

Akhmat

1.88

13%

FC Sochi

7.56

Win to Nil

37%

Akhmat

2.73

1%

FC Sochi

82.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 4.4 1.4 0.3
1 14.2 9.0 2.8 0.6 0.1
2 14.4 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 9.7 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 3.1 1.0 0.2
5 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.023
λ Away (xG) 0.630
Total xG 2.653
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 1.159
Akhmat attack strength 1.087
Akhmat defence strength 0.821
FC Sochi attack strength 0.662
FC Sochi defence strength 1.331
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 12