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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

56%

Akhmat

1.78

24%

Draw

4.11

20%

Nizhny Novgorod

5.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.53

0.87

Nizhny Novgorod xG

56%
24%
20%
AkhmatDrawNizhny Novgorod

1.78

56%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

5.13

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

42%

Akhmat

2.38

19%

Nizhny Novgorod

5.28

Win to Nil

24%

Akhmat

4.24

4%

Nizhny Novgorod

27.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 6.9 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 13.2 11.5 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.6 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.1 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.1
4 2.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.664
λ Away (xG) 0.869
Total xG 2.533
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.068
Akhmat attack strength 0.898
Akhmat defence strength 0.868
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.937
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.359
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57