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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

29%

Akhmat

3.39

31%

Draw

3.18

39%

Krylia Sovetov

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.52

1.36

Krylia Sovetov xG

29%
31%
39%
AkhmatDrawKrylia Sovetov

3.39

29%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

26%

Akhmat

3.90

31%

Krylia Sovetov

3.18

Win to Nil

8%

Akhmat

13.25

12%

Krylia Sovetov

8.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 11.0 7.5 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 9.3 12.7 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.4 7.3 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.158
λ Away (xG) 1.362
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.185
Akhmat attack strength 0.773
Akhmat defence strength 0.910
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.263
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34