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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

12:00

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

39%

Akhmat

2.55

31%

Draw

3.22

30%

Akron

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.60

1.20

Akron xG

39%
31%
30%
AkhmatDrawAkron

2.55

39%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

30%

Akhmat

3.32

25%

Akron

4.06

Win to Nil

12%

Akhmat

8.48

7%

Akron

13.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.9 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 10.4 12.5 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.7 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.4 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.401
λ Away (xG) 1.200
Total xG 2.601
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.267
Akhmat attack strength 0.932
Akhmat defence strength 0.862
Akron attack strength 1.098
Akron defence strength 1.034
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39