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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio João Cardoso

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

19%

Tondela

5.33

22%

Draw

4.58

59%

SC Braga

1.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

0 – 2

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Tondela xG

Total xG

2.90

1.92

SC Braga xG

19%
22%
59%
TondelaDrawSC Braga

5.33

19%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

1.68

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

15%

Tondela

6.85

38%

SC Braga

2.66

Win to Nil

3%

Tondela

36.52

22%

SC Braga

4.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 10.5 10.1 6.5 3.1 1.2
1 5.4 10.3 9.9 6.4 3.1 1.2
2 2.6 5.1 4.9 3.1 1.5 0.6
3 0.9 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.980
λ Away (xG) 1.924
Total xG 2.904
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.255
Tondela attack strength 0.751
Tondela defence strength 1.194
SC Braga attack strength 1.284
SC Braga defence strength 0.911
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51