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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Tondela Win
36%
2.80
31%
3.19
33%
3.03
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
14.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
14.2%
Home win
0 – 1
13.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
Tondela xG
Total xG
1.95
0.95
Nacional xG
TondelaDrawNacional
2.80
36%
Home win
3.19
31%
Draw
3.03
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.58
61%
BTTS No
1.63
Clean Sheet
39%
2.59
37%
2.72
Win to Nil
14%
7.24
12%
8.25
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.2 | 13.5 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.2 | 13.5 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.001
λ Away (xG)
0.950
Total xG
1.951
League avg home goals
1.461
League avg away goals
1.130
Tondela attack strength
0.677
Tondela defence strength
1.108
Nacional attack strength
0.759
Nacional defence strength
1.012
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
29 / 64