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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 13 Apr 2026

20:15

Venue

Estádio João Cardoso

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

29%

Tondela

3.43

30%

Draw

3.31

41%

GIL Vicente

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Tondela xG

Total xG

2.04

1.13

GIL Vicente xG

29%
30%
41%
TondelaDrawGIL Vicente

3.43

29%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

32%

Tondela

3.10

40%

GIL Vicente

2.48

Win to Nil

9%

Tondela

10.66

16%

GIL Vicente

6.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 14.7 8.3 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 5.4 6.1 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.909
λ Away (xG) 1.133
Total xG 2.042
League avg home goals 1.512
League avg away goals 1.152
Tondela attack strength 0.585
Tondela defence strength 1.030
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.954
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.028
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 62