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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio João Cardoso

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

9%

Tondela

11.04

20%

Draw

5.07

71%

FC Porto

1.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

15.9%

Away win

0 – 3

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.53

Tondela xG

Total xG

2.48

1.95

FC Porto xG

20%
71%
TondelaDrawFC Porto

11.04

9%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

1.40

71%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.82

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

14%

Tondela

7.04

59%

FC Porto

1.70

Win to Nil

1%

Tondela

77.66

42%

FC Porto

2.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 16.3 15.9 10.3 5.0 2.0
1 4.4 8.7 8.5 5.5 2.7 1.0
2 1.2 2.3 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.3
3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.532
λ Away (xG) 1.951
Total xG 2.483
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.317
Tondela attack strength 0.601
Tondela defence strength 1.143
FC Porto attack strength 1.296
FC Porto defence strength 0.665
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 46