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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

34%

Tondela

2.92

27%

Draw

3.68

39%

Famalicao

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Tondela xG

Total xG

2.67

1.38

Famalicao xG

34%
27%
39%
TondelaDrawFamalicao

2.92

34%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

25%

Tondela

3.99

28%

Famalicao

3.63

Win to Nil

9%

Tondela

11.64

11%

Famalicao

9.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.6 6.6 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.9 12.3 8.5 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 5.7 7.9 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.5 3.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 1.383
Total xG 2.672
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.166
Tondela attack strength 0.859
Tondela defence strength 1.150
Famalicao attack strength 1.031
Famalicao defence strength 1.068
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 35