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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio João Cardoso

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

29%

Tondela

3.50

25%

Draw

4.03

47%

Estoril

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Tondela xG

Total xG

2.81

1.60

Estoril xG

29%
25%
47%
TondelaDrawEstoril

3.50

29%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.15

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

20%

Tondela

4.97

30%

Estoril

3.33

Win to Nil

6%

Tondela

17.37

14%

Estoril

7.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.7 7.8 4.1 1.7 0.5
1 7.3 11.7 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.4 7.0 5.6 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.8 2.8 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.203
λ Away (xG) 1.603
Total xG 2.806
League avg home goals 1.383
League avg away goals 1.233
Tondela attack strength 0.713
Tondela defence strength 1.104
Estoril attack strength 1.177
Estoril defence strength 1.219
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 36