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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
12%
8.56
20%
4.89
68%
1.47
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.5%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
14.1%
Away win
1 – 1
9.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.65
Tondela xG
Total xG
2.59
1.94
Benfica xG
TondelaDrawBenfica
8.56
12%
Home win
4.89
20%
Draw
1.47
68%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.43
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
14%
6.94
52%
1.92
Win to Nil
2%
59.40
35%
2.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 14.5 | 14.1 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| 1 | 4.9 | 9.5 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.654
λ Away (xG)
1.937
Total xG
2.591
League avg home goals
1.554
League avg away goals
1.260
Tondela attack strength
0.665
Tondela defence strength
1.109
Benfica attack strength
1.387
Benfica defence strength
0.632
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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