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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sporting CP Win
83%
1.21
11%
8.90
6%
16.92
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.9%
Home win
4 – 0
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
3.00
Sporting CP xG
Total xG
3.72
0.72
Tondela xG
Sporting CPDrawTondela
1.21
83%
Home win
8.90
11%
Draw
16.92
6%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
51%
Over 3.5
1.96
49%
Under 3.5
2.04
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.06
51%
BTTS No
1.94
Clean Sheet
49%
2.05
5%
20.11
Win to Nil
40%
2.47
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 10.9 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 10.9 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 8.2 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
3.001
λ Away (xG)
0.716
Total xG
3.717
League avg home goals
1.474
League avg away goals
1.120
Sporting CP attack strength
1.506
Sporting CP defence strength
0.871
Tondela attack strength
0.733
Tondela defence strength
1.351
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 30