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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Mon 7 Apr 2025

20:45

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

45%

Sporting CP

2.24

27%

Draw

3.68

28%

SC Braga

3.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

2.40

1.03

SC Braga xG

45%
27%
28%
Sporting CPDrawSC Braga

2.24

45%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.53

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

36%

Sporting CP

2.81

25%

SC Braga

3.93

Win to Nil

16%

Sporting CP

6.30

7%

SC Braga

13.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.4 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 12.8 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 8.8 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.369
λ Away (xG) 1.032
Total xG 2.401
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.196
Sporting CP attack strength 1.459
Sporting CP defence strength 0.867
SC Braga attack strength 0.995
SC Braga defence strength 0.720
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61