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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

51%

Sporting CP

1.94

24%

Draw

4.11

24%

Guimaraes

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

2.73

1.06

Guimaraes xG

51%
24%
24%
Sporting CPDrawGuimaraes

1.94

51%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

35%

Sporting CP

2.89

19%

Guimaraes

5.28

Win to Nil

18%

Sporting CP

5.62

5%

Guimaraes

21.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.6 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.6 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.0 5.3 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.664
λ Away (xG) 1.062
Total xG 2.726
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.217
Sporting CP attack strength 1.431
Sporting CP defence strength 0.883
Guimaraes attack strength 0.989
Guimaraes defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67